Swansea City - Derby County ai prediction 05.04.2025 Championship

Preview for Match Swansea City vs Derby County

As the Championship season progresses into its 40th matchday, Swansea City will host Derby County at the Swansea.com Stadium on Saturday, 5 April 2025. This encounter is crucial for both teams, albeit for different reasons. Swansea City currently sits in the 16th position with 44 points, while Derby County finds itself in a precarious 22nd place with just 38 points. The contrasting standings highlight the varying stakes involved, as Swansea looks to solidify its mid-table position while Derby fights to avoid relegation.

The Swans have experienced a mixed bag of results, with 12 victories, 8 draws, and 18 defeats so far this season, scoring 38 goals but conceding 49. Their home record reflects a similar inconsistency, having achieved 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses on their own turf. In their most recent match, Swansea fought hard to earn a 2-2 draw against Leeds United, showcasing resilience but also revealing defensive vulnerabilities.

On the other hand, Derby County enters this match on the back of a commendable 3-2 away victory against Plymouth Argyle, a performance that may provide a much-needed boost in morale. Their overall season statistics, however, are less flattering, with only 10 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, resulting in 40 goals scored and 51 conceded. Their away form has been particularly troubling, with just 2 wins compared to 12 losses. The Rams must draw on their recent win to build momentum as they strive to escape the relegation zone.

In their last face-off, Swansea triumphed with a 2-1 away victory, adding to their favorable head-to-head record against Derby. In the last five encounters, Swansea has won three matches, drawn once, and lost once, which adds a psychological edge to the home side ahead of this clash.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Swansea City vs Derby County

Our betting prediction for this match strongly favors a home victory for Swansea City, given their superior form and the psychological advantage from previous encounters. The odds for a Swansea win stand at 2.04 with Betwinner, making it an appealing option for bettors. Additionally, we recommend considering the possibility that both teams will score, as evidenced by their recent performances, particularly Swansea's tendency to concede goals despite their attacking capabilities.

In summary, our betting tip is as follows:

• Main Tip: Swansea City to win (Tip 1)
• Secondary Tip: Both teams to score? Yes

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Swansea City have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Derby County have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

1X2

Away win

Swansea City have lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

Derby County have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Swansea City's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Derby County's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI Prediction for the Match Swansea City vs Derby County

Based on statistical analysis and recent form, the AI prediction for this match suggests a home victory for Swansea City, potentially with a final scoreline of 2-1. This forecast takes into account Swansea's attacking prowess and Derby's struggles in defense, particularly in away fixtures. The AI betting tip reinforces the notion that Swansea will capitalize on their home advantage while Derby may find it challenging to maintain consistency in a high-pressure environment.

Swansea City Performance Check

Swansea City's current form under the management of Luke Williams sees them striving for stability amid a fluctuating season. With 12 wins and a handful of draws, their recent performances have been somewhat erratic, having registered only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. The team has exhibited resilience, particularly in their latest outing against Leeds, where they managed to salvage a draw despite trailing. However, defensive lapses remain a concern that they must address as they prepare for this crucial clash against Derby County.

How is the Current Performance of Derby County

Derby County, managed by John Eustace, has been fighting to break free from the clutches of relegation. Their current form has shown signs of improvement, registering 3 wins in their last five matches, albeit with 2 defeats. The recent victory against Plymouth Argyle has instilled a sense of hope, but the Rams must maintain this momentum if they wish to escape the relegation zone. Their away record, however, poses a significant challenge, and they will need to find a way to translate their home success into points on the road.

Last Direct Match

In their most recent encounter, Swansea City defeated Derby County 2-1, a result that not only highlights Swansea's current dominance in this fixture but also adds pressure on Derby to reverse their fortunes in this upcoming clash.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The head-to-head record over the last five meetings shows that Swansea City has secured 3 victories, while Derby County has managed to clinch just 1 win, along with 1 drawn match. This record underscores Swansea's competitive advantage going into this fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In the last five matches, Swansea City has achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, reflecting a need for consistency. Conversely, Derby County has enjoyed a more favorable run with 3 wins and 2 defeats, indicating an upswing in form as they seek to avert relegation.

Performance

Swansea City

Last games

Swansea City performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

20%

Derby County

Last games

Derby County performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Last Match Results Swansea City and Derby County

Swansea City recently drew 2-2 against Leeds United, while Derby County celebrated a 3-2 victory over Plymouth Argyle. These results further illustrate the contrasting fortunes of the two teams as they prepare for their encounter.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For this match, the best odds available are as follows: Tip 1 (Swansea City to win) at 2.04 with Betwinner, Tip X (draw) at 3.52 with Betwinner, and Tip 2 (Derby County to win) at 3.75 with Gbets. Our experience with the best betting sites suggests that these odds reflect the current dynamics of both teams effectively. For those looking to make informed betting decisions, we recommend consulting our bookmaker comparison to find the best betting sites available.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Swansea City appears to hold the upper hand heading into this match against Derby County, bolstered by their home advantage and a favorable historical record. With both teams vying for different objectives—Swansea for mid-table security and Derby for survival—the stakes couldn't be higher. Our analysis suggests a home win for Swansea, possibly with both teams finding the net.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, ensuring you remain informed and ready to make strategic betting decisions in the world of football.