1. FSV Mainz 05 - FC St. Pauli ai prediction 22.02.2025 Bundesliga

Preview for the Match: Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli

The Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli, scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025, at 15:30, promises to be an intriguing affair. As we approach Matchday 23, both teams have distinct objectives in their campaign. Mainz 05, currently sitting comfortably in sixth position with 35 points, will aim to solidify their standing and push towards the European spots. On the other hand, FC St. Pauli, placed 14th with 21 points, will be desperate to collect valuable points to steer clear of the relegation zone. The MEWA ARENA will host this encounter, where Mainz 05 have shown decent form with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at home this season.

Mainz's recent performances have been somewhat mixed, but they will take confidence from their recent 2-0 away victory against 1. FC Heidenheim 1846. FC St. Pauli, under the guidance of Alexander Matthias Blessin, will look to bounce back from a narrow 0-1 home defeat to SC Freiburg. The last meeting between these two sides ended in a convincing 3-0 away win for Mainz 05, which will undoubtedly play on the minds of both teams. Historically, Mainz 05 have dominated this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters and drawing the other. With Bo Bjørnholt Henriksen at the helm, Mainz 05 will look to capitalize on their superior form and head-to-head record.

Our Betting Prediction for Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli

Our betting tip for this match is a home win for Mainz 05. Given their solid home form and dominant head-to-head record against FC St. Pauli, Mainz 05 are poised to continue their ascent up the Bundesliga table. Additionally, considering FC St. Pauli's struggles on the road, where they have suffered seven defeats, Mainz 05 should be able to capitalize on their vulnerabilities. For those looking for a secondary betting angle, we suggest betting on both teams not to score, as FC St. Pauli's attacking woes, having only scored 18 goals this season, may continue against Mainz's resilient defense.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Double Chance

X2

Mainz 05 have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

FC St. Pauli have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli

In analyzing the data, the AI prediction suggests a likely victory for Mainz 05. With Mainz's current form and superior head-to-head record, a 2-0 victory seems plausible. The AI betting tip favors Mainz 05 in the 1x2 market, and given FC St. Pauli's challenges in front of goal, the prediction leans towards a clean sheet for the home side.

Mainz 05 Performance Check

Under the leadership of Bo Bjørnholt Henriksen, Mainz 05 have shown commendable resilience and consistency this season. Currently occupying the sixth spot on the table with 35 points, their campaign has been bolstered by 10 wins, with 35 goals scored against only 24 conceded. At home, Mainz have been formidable, securing 5 wins from 11 matches. Their recent form includes a significant 2-0 away triumph over 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, which will instill further confidence as they prepare to host FC St. Pauli.

How is the Current Performance of FC St. Pauli?

FC St. Pauli, under the guidance of Alexander Matthias Blessin, find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 14th in the Bundesliga standings. With only 21 points accumulated from 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, their away form is particularly concerning, having lost 7 of their 11 matches on the road. Their attacking prowess has been limited, with just 18 goals scored, and they come into this match on the back of a 0-1 home defeat to SC Freiburg. FC St. Pauli will need to find both offensive and defensive solutions to challenge Mainz 05 effectively.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli was a one-sided affair, with Mainz 05 securing a comprehensive 3-0 victory away from home. This result will weigh heavily on FC St. Pauli as they travel to the MEWA ARENA, knowing they must improve significantly to compete against a Mainz team that has had the upper hand in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The head-to-head record over the last five meetings between these two sides heavily favors Mainz 05. They have emerged victorious in 4 of those encounters, with the remaining match ending in a draw. FC St. Pauli have yet to taste victory against Mainz in recent memory, a psychological hurdle they will need to overcome if they are to secure a result in this fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Both teams have shown similar form over their last five matches in all competitions, each recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. Mainz 05's recent away win against 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 will provide them with momentum, while FC St. Pauli's recent home loss to SC Freiburg emphasizes their need for improvement.

Performance

Mainz 05

Last games

Mainz 05 performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

75%

Over 2.5

25%

FC St. Pauli

Last games

FC St. Pauli performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

33%

Last Match Results of Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli

Mainz 05's last outing saw them secure a 2-0 away victory against 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, a result that will boost their confidence. Conversely, FC St. Pauli suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to SC Freiburg, highlighting their struggles in both defense and attack.

Best Odds and Our Betting Prediction for the Match

The best odds for a Mainz 05 victory can be found at Betika with an odd of 1.87. For those considering a draw, Betwinner offers odds of 3.75, while a FC St. Pauli win is priced at 4.85 with Betano. Given our analysis and experience with the best betting sites, we recommend betting on a home win for Mainz 05. Additionally, considering FC St. Pauli's attacking challenges, we suggest betting on both teams not to score.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Mainz 05 enter this fixture as clear favorites given their superior form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. FC St. Pauli will need to address their defensive frailties and find a way to breach Mainz's strong defense if they are to salvage any points. A home win seems the most likely outcome, with a clean sheet for Mainz 05 also on the cards. Here are tomorrow's betting tips for those looking to explore other matches.

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