AJ Auxerre - Montpellier HSC ai prediction 30.03.2025 Ligue 1

Preview for match AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC

On Sunday, March 30, 2025, at 16:15, AJ Auxerre will host Montpellier HSC at the Abbe Deschamps Stadium in what promises to be a compelling encounter in the Ligue 1. As the 27th matchday of the season unfolds, the stakes are high for both teams. AJ Auxerre currently occupies the 11th position in the league table, having amassed 32 points from 26 matches, with 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats. Their goal difference stands at a modest 37 scored and 39 conceded.

In contrast, Montpellier HSC finds itself in a precarious situation, lying at the bottom of the league in 18th place with only 15 points to their name. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and a staggering 18 defeats reflects a season fraught with difficulties, highlighted by a goal tally of 21 scored against 59 conceded. The plight of Montpellier is further exacerbated by their dismal away record, where they have only secured a single victory in 12 attempts, with the remaining matches resulting in losses.

The historical context of this fixture adds another layer of intrigue. The last direct meeting saw Montpellier emerge victorious with a 3-2 win at home, which could serve as a motivating factor for Auxerre as they seek redemption. With both teams entering the match under different circumstances—Auxerre coming off a 1-1 draw against OGC Nizza, while Montpellier suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to OSC Lille—their recent performances will undoubtedly influence their strategies and morale heading into this encounter.

Our betting tip for the match AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC

In light of the current form and standings of both teams, our betting prediction leans towards a home win for AJ Auxerre. The odds for this outcome are favorable with Betwinner offering 1.88 for a home victory. Given Montpellier's struggle this season, it is reasonable to expect Auxerre to capitalize on their home advantage.

Additionally, we recommend a secondary tip indicating that both teams will score, as the odds for this are set at 1.75 with Mozzart. Despite Montpellier's defensive frailties, they possess the capability to find the back of the net, especially against a team that may underestimate them.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of AJ Auxerre's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Montpellier HSC's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Handicap 0-1

Home win

AJ Auxerre have won by 2 or more goals 2 of their last 5 matches.

Montpellier HSC have lost by 2 or more goals 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Double Chance

1X

AJ Auxerre have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Montpellier HSC have drawn or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for the match AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC

From an analytical perspective, the AI prediction suggests a strong likelihood of a home win for AJ Auxerre, potentially with a scoreline of 2-1. This forecast is based on Auxerre's superior form in recent matches compared to Montpellier's continuous struggle, culminating in five consecutive defeats. Such a trend, coupled with the home advantage that Auxerre enjoys, reinforces the expectation of a favorable outcome for the hosts.

AJ Auxerre performance check

AJ Auxerre, managed by Christophe Pélissier, has shown resilience in recent weeks, managing to secure two wins and two draws in their last five matches. This form has provided them with a buffer in the middle of the table. While their overall goal difference remains slightly negative, their home record is commendable, with six wins out of 13 matches played at Abbe Deschamps. The team will be keen to leverage this home advantage to secure vital points as the season approaches its climax.

How is the current performance of Montpellier HSC

Montpellier HSC, under the guidance of coach Jean-Louis Gasset, finds itself in dire straits. The team has failed to muster a single point in their last five outings, suffering five consecutive defeats that have significantly dented their confidence. Their away form is particularly concerning, with only one win in 12 attempts. The pressure is mounting for Gasset's side as they strive to escape the relegation zone, making this match a critical juncture in their season.

Last direct match

In their most recent encounter, Montpellier HSC triumphed over AJ Auxerre with a scoreline of 3-2. This victory may serve as a psychological advantage for Montpellier, although the contrasting fortunes of both teams this season suggest that Auxerre will be looking to alter the narrative in this upcoming fixture.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five meetings between these two sides across all competitions, Montpellier has dominated with four wins, while Auxerre has managed only a single victory. This historical context underlines Montpellier's recent superiority, but with the current form being a significant factor, Auxerre will aim to reverse their fortunes.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, AJ Auxerre has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, demonstrating a relatively stable form. On the other hand, Montpellier has endured a challenging period, with no wins, no draws, and 5 defeats, reflecting a team in crisis.

Performance

AJ Auxerre

Last games

AJ Auxerre performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

40%

Montpellier HSC

Last games

Montpellier HSC performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

20%

Last match results AJ Auxerre and Montpellier HSC

AJ Auxerre's last match concluded in a 1-1 draw against OGC Nizza, while Montpellier suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat against OSC Lille. These results further emphasize the contrasting trajectories of both teams heading into this fixture.

Best odds and our betting tip

The best odds for this match indicate AJ Auxerre as the favorites for victory, with Betwinner offering 1.88 for a home win. Given the current form and statistical analysis, our betting tip is firmly in favor of a home victory for Auxerre. For those exploring betting options, our experience suggests utilizing the best betting sites available in our bookmaker comparison for optimal results.

Conclusion

In conclusion, AJ Auxerre emerges as the clear favorite for this match, supported by their home form and recent performances, contrasted sharply with Montpellier's struggles. The predicted outcome leans towards a home victory, potentially with both teams scoring. This match will be pivotal for both sides as the season progresses, and AJ Auxerre will undoubtedly be eager to secure a vital three points.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips: keep an eye on the upcoming fixtures as we continue to provide insights and predictions for your betting endeavors.